Discussion List

  • Weston Nakamura
    I'm on RVDB today w/ Ash to discuss BOJ (video)
    For those who haven't seen, check out video below on the most consequential (and somehow also most overlooked) major central bank today: BOJ, as well as recent events that put BOJ and global markets at the precipice. BOJ Yield Curve Control - (one of) the most significant monetary policy globally in the past half decade When BOJ pins JGB yields at zero, cash rich elderly Japanese households, cash hoarding corporates, world's largest government pension fund, asset managers etc - they are forced…
    Weston Nakamura 252 views 6 comments Most recent by Kevin Lankford Real Vision
  • Weston Nakamura
    Week Ahead: 8/23-8/27 Calendar
    (Calendar only, Week Ahead Video coming later) US House of Reps back in session to vote on $1 trillion infrastructure bill + $3.5 trillion budget resolution Mon 8/23 Japan, Germany, France, UK PMI US existing home sales Earnings: Tues 8/24 Germany GDP US New Home Sales UST 2yr auction Earnings: Best Buy Wed 8/25 US Durable Goods Orders UST 5yr Auction Jackson Hole Day 1 Thurs 8/26 ECB Minutes  US GDP UST 7yr Auction Earnings: Dollar General, Dollar Tree Jackson Hole D…
    Weston Nakamura 46 views 1 comment Most recent by matthew_l Real Vision
  • Ralph Humphrey
    Ralph Humphrey 27 views 1 comment Most recent by John Ahearn Real Vision
  • Weston Nakamura
    July CPI downside miss trade: 30y UST + gold + Softbank
    30y UST Futures (ZB): delta neutral w/ upside convexity bias (long end yields fall) 4:1 ratio calls to futures: •Long Sept 165 Calls (25 ∆) •Short ZBU1 Sept 30y futures  time horizon: close at 8:31am - end of week Long Gold calls on futures (GC): 1775 / 1800 call spread time horizon: close at 8:31am - end of week Long Softbank (my “long tech“ expression - as explained to @Jeremiah S Softbank, via japan listed 9984 Softbank + US listed SFTBY (for ”round the clock” trading). this is my “n…
    Weston Nakamura 8 views 2 comments Most recent by Weston Nakamura Real Vision
  • Weston Nakamura
    Week Ahead: Mon Aug 9 - Fri Aug 13 w/ Petr & Weston Futures roll week ahead of expiry Mon 8/16 (AUD, EUR, JPY, GBP) Monday Aug 9 (Japan Holiday) •Fed speeches: Atlanta Fed Bostic & Richmond Fed Barkin (both taper-favoring) Earnings: AMC, Berkshire Hathaway •US JOLTS Tues Aug 10 Earnings:  🇯🇵Softbank, 🇺🇸 COIN •ARK monthly seminar - first after dropping all China exposure + adding HOOD Wed Aug 11 •US CPI •10Y UST Auction Earnings: 🇨🇳Baidu, NetEase, TAL Education (rescheduled) 🇺🇸Disney, Airbnb Thurs Aug…
    Weston Nakamura 76 views 4 comments Most recent by John C Real Vision
  • Weston Nakamura
    The Same Trade? See these charts
    What do cars, cryptocurrencies, asset managers, movie theaters, and meme trading have in common? They're the same trade on the 10Y UST Yield (or vice versa?) - here's the wild goose chase. First- why did $HOOD rally +24% yesterday on no news? My suspicion for the reason led me to the OCC site, where I checked the criteria for when exchanges can list options following an IPO. They are as follows (and $HOOD checks the boxes): ✓ The underlying stock must have a minimum of seven million shares o…
    Weston Nakamura 7 views 10 comments Most recent by Weston Nakamura Real Vision
  • sam_c
    *for the first time since june Japanese 10y does not trade LoL @weston
    I love that little *Note: "the first time the 10y jananese bond doesn't trade since June" but said cryptically.  @Weston Nakamura I know you are almost a broken record about japan, but it remains such a wild story.   
    sam_c 2 views 2 comments Most recent by Weston Nakamura Real Vision