Investment Ideas
Discussion List
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RV University SubscriptionsRV UPDATE: Along with the launch of The Academy, we are opening up access to our content and community to college students and faculty. If you know a professor, university student, university staff member, etc. who might be interested in this program, we would love to connect with them! You can learn more about what we’re doing on campuses here: Real Vision University Subscription
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What’s the biggest story no one is talking about?What’s the biggest story no one is talking about?
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Hi Real Vision team, any planned videos outlining recent chinese regulation and the impacts on Ch...Hi Real Vision team, any planned videos outlining recent chinese regulation and the impacts on Chinese big tech going forward? I see there has been little coverage on this. -
July CPI - Used Cars Deceleration keeps a lid on core CPI (Exchanging Lanes)(heading into CPI release) "We have 0.6 for the headline, 0.47% for core," said Jan Hatzius, chief economist at Goldman Sachs. "It's on the high side relative to the consensus and mainly because we're probably going to get another sizeable increase in used cars even though auction prices are now falling." …thanks GS, @Brad S & I disagree. results ↓ US BLS: Consumer Price Index Summary 8:30 a.m. (ET) August 11, 2021 "The index for all items less food and energy …
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Ask Me Anything, With John Floyd.We recently interviewed John Floyd, head of macro strategies at Record Currency Management, where John explains his macro strategies for trading currencies and insights into the bond market. Floyd walks through macro indicators that he watches to inform his trades and develop his variant perception. These data points have led Floyd to become bearish on the dollar relative to the yen. He also sees slowing economic growth, tensions between Northern and Southern Europe, and rising delta variant … -
July CPI downside miss trade: 30y UST + gold + Softbank30y UST Futures (ZB): delta neutral w/ upside convexity bias (long end yields fall) 4:1 ratio calls to futures: •Long Sept 165 Calls (25 ∆) •Short ZBU1 Sept 30y futures time horizon: close at 8:31am - end of week Long Gold calls on futures (GC): 1775 / 1800 call spread time horizon: close at 8:31am - end of week Long Softbank (my “long tech“ expression - as explained to @Jeremiah S Softbank, via japan listed 9984 Softbank + US listed SFTBY (for ”round the clock” trading). this is my “n…
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Are there any professional traders on here ? I've got a little 5 person whatsapp group going of "...Are there any professional traders on here ? I've got a little 5 person whatsapp group going of "pros only" for more complex nuanced discussions. If you think this suits and you fancy joining - hit me up.
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What is your most obvious trade right now?With markets starting to go side-ways, what are you seeing in terms of opportunity? Or maybe is the time to just go enjoy the summer and leave markets alone? The more I look at the screens today, the more I am leaning towards the later and just stay long crypto?
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Cathie Wood RV Series Discussion: TSLA & ChinaReally been enjoying this Cathie Wood series so far, but also extremely well timed and highly relevant market in real time (I’ve said in many occasions that the RV team who books / sets the programming schedule are like the best market timing “predictors” of all time lol - and it’s very true). Market Developments in the last 24-48 hours (as Cathie Wood series started): •TSLA Q2 Earnings beat: EPS $1.45 vs $0.96 est. OP $1.3bn (3x YoY), overcoming the fundamental bear case hurdles. EV deliv…
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Any ZYN users here?I was listening to @sinstockpapi on a podcast talking about sin stocks and he brought up ZYN. I have never seen it (sadly not for sale where I am) but it seems like it is becoming popular in the US. Anyone here using them? @Brad S are you maybe shipping them? Also since I imagine you stop at gas stations, is it something that you can buy there? how is the shelf space? Swedish match discussion ==> 45:00-50:00 of the podcast https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/sinstockpapi-tobacco-…
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Milton BergIf you haven’t watched it, I recommend the Milton Berg interview. The man is well-informed and passionate. Great interview @Jack Farley
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Top Posts To Get Your Day Started!Happy Wednesday Exchange! Here are some posts to get your day started. * @Christopher Moir updates his ETF Dashboard with a new and catchy name! * This post from @Ralph Humphrey didn't get much traction yet, but it is an important talking point. A lot of savvy investors follow the money flow of institutional buyers. Ralph breaks down what LC from Omega has been getting into. * Here is a take from @Victor Martin-Tiscar which goes against the grain of MMT. Interesting read. * Woah.... Jack,…
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Exchanging Lanes: Episode 3https://vimeo.com/575952786In this episode: •Brand new used cars •The Brad Breakfast Index •The Other “Chip” Shortage •Pics from the Road - pipes, glass, Tesla juice Please us know what you’re seeing out there too - related to any of the above or not! And as always - thank you for your feedback and participation! (By the way, while @Brad S is wearing his “Irresponsibly Long” tshirt, I’m wearing my Japanese version I had made - “Irresponsible Buy & Hold” to be exact) Previous Episod…
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"Delta" Hedging 2020 Tokyo OlympicsBy the time you read this, the situation on the ground with regards to the Tokyo Olympics will have changed from when this was written. In fact, by the time you finish reading this, the story will have evolved from when you started reading. This is the dynamic nature of occurrences when conflicting incompatibilities are unnaturally forced together - the predictably unpredictable happens. Amidst the sea of unknowns, here’s a ray of certainty: the Tokyo “2020” Olympics, as it’s colloquially know…
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Short Amazon - This Guy is Going naked =)I feel the time has come for Amazon to be in focus enough, alone after FB has been given a pass, to see some serious downfall. Charts are an easy look for a drop (I won't say correction). This is a very intuitive trade for me and took several months to decide if I would put it on. So I began building short yesterday at 3469. I don't recommend this to anyone, and it is not advice - financial or otherwise , I am not a financial advisor. The derivative route is obviously better for larger moves an…
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Exchange Traded Fun: Spending BTC in TokyoHere is a weekend “educational“ (stupid) video on how to spend BTC in Japan (where BTC has been legal means of payment for some time now), WHY I would spend BTC vs fiat in the first place (in trivial amounts), and my general/everyday causing mischief around Tokyo. Originally recorded Sun 4/18 (few hours after BTC mini crash). https://vimeo.com/543960066Also- thank you all for the birthday wishes!