Charts & Reports

Discussion List

  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Market Update + RVDB Q&A with Maggie Lake + Jeff Schulze
    Markets firmly in the red this afternoon. The Nasdaq was down more than 2% at one point on strong risk off. Possible culprits: Fed hawkish narrative (was originally priced as bullish / non-concern) Manchin blocking 2 trillion Biden spending Bill last night Goldman Sachs downgrading US GDP forecasts on #2 backdrop Covid 19 variants Or, all of the above. The S&P is all the way back to the Dec lows. Bulls would need to see this morning's low hold for the weekly trend to remain bullish (DeMar…
    Petr Pinkhasov 239 views 2 comments Most recent by amos_l Daily Briefing
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    11/17/21 - Market Update + RVDB Q&A w/ Darius Dale
    Markets grinding slightly lower today. The dow is off 150 points on a 0.44% decline. Hovering in around +18% year to date which makes it the largest lagger in the large cap complex. The S&P and Nasdaq are sitting up more than 22% each. Tesla had a nice rally to 1100 but now appears to have massively stalled intraday, adding pressure to the markets as the Nasdaq breaks below the opening range low today.It l Given that the correlation between the broad market has been strongly tied with Tesl…
    Petr Pinkhasov 176 views 6 comments Most recent by Julian Cash Daily Briefing
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Market Update + Tony Tuesday RVDB Q&A!
    Tony Greer joins Ash Bennington for today's Real Vision Daily Briefing live at 4PM EST! Markets continue to grind higher today regardless of geopolitical tensions and stronger coronavirus delta variant transmissions. This is not making mainstream headlines, but Germany has recently implemented new Covid restrictions because of the uptick. Gold consolidating after breaking out of a bottom basing range on the backdrop of possible stagflation into 2022. What questions do you have? Drop them be…
    Petr Pinkhasov 107 views 5 comments Most recent by Oliver M Daily Briefing
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Market Update: Yields, Tesla causing a ruckus + RVDB Q&A
    Stocks on the backfoot this morning as long end yield curve push north of 2%, scaring growth names. Here is an intraday chart of the 30 year yield Tesla has been at the top of the news cycle since Elon Musk sold off some of his stock. He continued the narrative over the weekend, threatening senator Bernie Sanders that he is going to sell more stock if he continues to be "targeted" Keep in mind TSLA now makes up a larger % of the equity index since its large risk in October, which cou…
    Petr Pinkhasov 260 views 0 comments Started by Petr Pinkhasov Daily Briefing
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    11/12/2021 Market Update + RVDB Q&A
    Markets on the up and up this morning. After a meager open, it seems like the spark upwards was helped by a very large synthetic long position had 0 days to expiration. c4650/sold p4650 dtx0 that sparked the rally below. TSLA was largely the culprit for any volatility this week after Elon decided that selling some shares to pay a tax bill was prudent. However, TSLA stock continues to slide although broad indices appear to be pinned on the gamma side. Crypto markets however are on the back foo…
    Petr Pinkhasov 223 views 1 comment Most recent by jason_b Daily Briefing
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    11/4/2021 Market Update + RVDB Q&A
    Nasdaq is now up 6 days in a row. Almost 14% off the recent swing lows. Dow struggling to make up some ground over the last couple of days while growth has really start to show promise. However, super high growth names in the ARKK basket are actually underperforming This is a little bit surprising considering they are large holders of TSLA stock which has gone parabolic! Rates have come off overnight after a surprise from the BOE, lowering the chance of a fed hike -- according to sources. Howev…
    Petr Pinkhasov 85 views 2 comments Most recent by Petr Pinkhasov Daily Briefing
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    11/3/2021 Market Update + RVDB Q&A w/ Darius Dale
    Happy Wednesday, Real Vision! Before you read the rest, make sure you check out Darius's market update: here Markets so far are pretty tame before the big FOMC meeting later. As I write out this report, we are only up around 16 basis points on the Nasdaq and down 8 on the S&P. Treasury bonds, perhaps the most volatile instrument on FOMC day, also down slightly Rates are up slightly on the backdrop of a more aggressive rate hike cycle. In case you missed it, the 5 year ran 4 basis points …
    Petr Pinkhasov 243 views 5 comments Most recent by Samuel Crawford Daily Briefing
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Interest Rate Curves Obliterated... Market Update + RVDB Q&A Harry Melandri and Maggie Lake
    What a move in the short-term interest rate space. The Eurodollar Dec 23/24 calendar spread dropped by the most I've seen since there were big interest rate shifts. Take a peek at how much the German 10-year Bund future moved in the last 48 hours. These moves are really pushing the VaR desks limits, one would imagine. The spread between 5 and 30 year yields are really roaring. However, broad equities continue to drift higher as the VIX falls around 4% today. Major markets are nearing their all…
    Petr Pinkhasov 97 views 1 comment Most recent by fh_s Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    VIX Going Up with Market... Daily Briefing Q&A Thread
    Jared Dillian joins Ash Bennington for today's Real Vision Daily Briefing. Lots of things to talk about broad markets-wise. First off, did anyone else notice that the VIX was going UP with the markets going UP? Weird. Are the volatility markets pricing something in? TSLA looks to be the only thing that is driving the market at the moment! I'm personally curious on what Jared thinks about this. Do you have any questions for the duo? Drop them below.
    Petr Pinkhasov 115 views 3 comments Most recent by ross_m Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Correlations are BACK. Market Update / RVDB Q&A
    Equity markets off modestly. Seeing the Nasdaq take the grunt of the beating, which is strange, given that the bond markets had a strong rally today (lower yields). What I have really been tracking is the correlations back on the Yen to the treasury markets. The char below shows a 5 minute opening range chart of USDJPY on the top and the 30-year yield on the bottom. Inter-market flows are alive again. Cryptos are slightly weaker today, matching general tone of the market. Jim Bianco joins Maggi…
    Petr Pinkhasov 127 views 1 comment Most recent by John Ahearn Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Market Update / RVDB Q&A
    Happy Thursday everyone! Markets are slightly choppy today with most equity index products trading lower overnight and moving higher off the US open. Nasdaq outperforming up about 30 basis points and grinding back to highs. Cryptos largely on the downside but just a meager down move today. Bitcoin finally broke above 63K and holding 63,500. From the flows side, seeing that crude is having some substantial impacts on the bond yields which are moving lower intraday, but if Crude oil holds 81 it …
    Petr Pinkhasov 184 views 8 comments Most recent by Ralph Humphrey Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Everything Rally (Except the bonds). Market Update / Tony Greer Q&A
    Happy Tuesday RV Members! Markets up for the 5th session in a row, on the S&P 500. After making a solid bottom which we talked about the Dow Jones holding those critical support zones, we have come up about 5% off the low range lows. The Nasdaq is leading the upside charge today, even with the rates rising. Bar chart of the S&P 500 cash index 10-year yields now back to highs of October at around 1.625% Cryptos largely in the green with Bitcoin up ~2% After initially trading lower in th…
    Petr Pinkhasov 194 views 4 comments Most recent by john_c Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Markets Grind, Cryptos Grind.. but those bonds.. - Market Update / RVDB Q&A
    Markets a little bit all over the place here. The Dow Jones is down the most, mostly due to the AAPL chip shortage narrative and move lower off yesterday's action post-close. Nasdaq somewhat in the green and S&P slightly in the red. Cryptos continue their drift higher. @Raoul Pal posted a great chart yesterday comparing the price analog between Bitcoin now and 2013. Check it out here. The 52k prior high might be a good proxy for long trails. Noticing the HJ spring shoulder on Natural Gas …
    Petr Pinkhasov 192 views 2 comments Most recent by Oliver M Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Daily Briefing Q&A Thread w/ Jack + Jared Dillian
    Drop your questions here for today's Daily Briefing! Quick update: Stocks somewhat mixed after a strong couple of days. Volume shelf sitting near 4360. The notes are holding the bottom end of a bottom trend channel back to the "scene of the crime" before NFP. Drop your questions for Jared & Jack!
    Petr Pinkhasov 221 views 4 comments Most recent by Ralph Humphrey Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Market Update: Full Bull. RVDB Questions? Drop Them Here
    Markets up up up again. Green across all world equity indices today. Nasdaq finally leading the charge again even with a strong rally on the yields today. Summer lows ended up holding well on the NQ Future. S&P breaking back above a short-term down-trend. Long term trends have broken down so would imagine some sort of resistance coming up soon but most likely closer to 4450 area than here. Treasuries with some heaviness today, possibly pricing in a solid jobs number tomorrow along with th…
    Petr Pinkhasov 275 views 8 comments Most recent by Ralph Humphrey Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Jobs Up, Critical Levels Holding, Bitcoin Surging. Market Update + RVDB Q&A
    Well, in typical ping pong fashion, the markets are back in the red today. This is now the 4th session where we closed lower after a strong up day. I mentioned on the week ahead about lackluster price action until we get a cleaner picture on employment. My thought today was that we might see some kind of resolution with regard to the ADP figure. ADP employment report printed a 568K increase in jobs versus the expected 430K. That is a pretty decent beat. Non-farm payrolls on Friday obviously mor…
    Petr Pinkhasov 212 views 4 comments Most recent by Ralph Humphrey Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Market Update + Daily Briefing Q&A 10/4/2021
    Markets trading lower, Nasdaq getting hit the most down almost 250 basis points. Ark Innovation (ARKK) down a fair bit today, dragging down a lot of the tech names. An increase in yields in the back half of September might have been the culprit for weaker tech markets. 10 year yield is hovering right around 1.5% Cryptos mostly in the red today as well, following the general weaker growth theme. Later today, Ash Bennington is hosting Dave Floyd live on RVDB at 4PM EST! Drop your questions for th…
    Petr Pinkhasov 226 views 1 comment Most recent by tushar_m Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    The Snapback. Market Update & Daily Briefing Q&A
    The Dow has held last week's support. This has been an important level for most of this year. From a trend perspective, looks like it is holding up well. The Dow is leading the charge up 75bps so far this afternoon with the Nasdaq barely staying in the green. Crypto is absolutely on fire today, most of the basket is up around 8% on the day. The 40K support level ended up being critical which we pointed out on the market update the last few posts! Jim Bianco and Ash Bennington will be on the D…
    Petr Pinkhasov 170 views 2 comments Most recent by MJHS Real Vision
  • nick_c
    The Breakdown Season 2 is here!
    Summer is over, class is back in session! Jack and I are back and ready for season 2 of The Breakdown! In this week’s episode, Jack breaks down real yields and how they impact the economy and asset prices. Hope you enjoy! Links to the original interviews: https://www.realvision.com/shows/insider-talks/videos/insider-talks-september-2021-live?source_collection=bffd8077978045d7bf21b2bc6362a2d5https://www.realvision.com/shows/raoul-pal-the-journey-man/videos/is-inflation-here-to-stay?source_colle…
    nick_c 327 views 2 comments Most recent by tunckar Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Market Update / Daily Briefing with Dion Rabouin & Steven van Metre. Drop your questions below!
    Stock markets firmly in the green today after a volatile week before. The Dow Jones is leading the charge, up more than 1.5% on the day with the S&P 500 trailing at around 1.1% -- Nasdaq relative weakness only up 0.91% compared to the other major averages. Initial trend line resistance on the Dow is all the way back near 35,500 -- or roughly 2.2% from here. Bitcoin trying to stay back above the 40,000 area after breaking down in the medium term. In general, the crypto market has taken a br…
    Petr Pinkhasov 396 views 11 comments Most recent by fred_p Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Charting With Petr Episode 7
    Enjoy! Feel to drop requests or questions below.
    Petr Pinkhasov 143 views 3 comments Most recent by muddshir_h Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Turnaround Tueday = Tony Tuesday? Drop Your Questions For RVDB + Market Update
    Markets fairing better than yesterday with most indices steadily in the green this afternoon. Cryptos also stabilizing somewhat after a poor rut yesterday. Here are some of the top movers in the S&P 500 today. Have a question for Tony and Maggie for Daily Briefing later? Drop them below in the replies!
    Petr Pinkhasov 202 views 3 comments Most recent by john_c Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Market Update + Real Vision Daily Briefing w/ Dion Rabouin with Jim Bianco. Drop your questions!
    Markets very weak this Friday as per typical option quarterly expiration fashion. Cryptos mixed again as well. Stocks are sitting right on their 50-day moving average. It looks like this has been an area of support in the past. With growth and taper headlines at the top of the mind for most investors, will it be different on this dip? My view is that No, but I think we might make it harder and undercut the low end of the range before continuing the trend higher. However, lets hear it from the …
    Closed Petr Pinkhasov 223 views 6 comments Most recent by emma_m Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Real Vision Daily Briefing With Maggie Lake & Tony Greer! Drop Questions Here!
    Stocks so far through out the session. Crypto is the shining star today Along with 10-year yields! Bonds shooting higher on yields heading lower. Check out @Raoul Pal's quick take on what to make of the possible breakdown in yields / breakout in treasuries which was posted earlier in the session. Drop your questions for Tony & Maggie Below for the Daily Briefing live at 4PM EST! @Tony Greer
    Closed Petr Pinkhasov 128 views 1 comment Most recent by David Douglas Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Week Ahead 9-13
    Weekly Economic Calendar Charts Of Note: Posts To Check Out: Hey you (yes, you, reading this)...want to come to a Real Vision party in New York? Evergrande ETF Lay of the Land : Monday 13th September 2021
    Petr Pinkhasov 69 views 0 comments Started by Petr Pinkhasov Real Vision
  • Petr Pinkhasov
    Real Vision Daily Briefing w/ Maggie Lake and Tony Greer - Drop your questions!
    Market update: Equities trimmed their gains being up as much as .4% earlier in the session. News this morning is that more and more companies are concerned about delta variant. United Airlines expressed a delayed recovery this morning as well. US 10 year on the decline as well on the backdrop of weaker growth narratives. Drop your questions for Maggie and Tony below!
    Petr Pinkhasov 193 views 4 comments Most recent by jocelyn_r Real Vision
  • Weston Nakamura
    "Delta" Hedging 2020 Tokyo Olympics
    By the time you read this, the situation on the ground with regards to the Tokyo Olympics will have changed from when this was written. In fact, by the time you finish reading this, the story will have evolved from when you started reading. This is the dynamic nature of occurrences when conflicting incompatibilities are unnaturally forced together - the predictably unpredictable happens. Amidst the sea of unknowns, here’s a ray of certainty: the Tokyo “2020” Olympics, as it’s colloquially know…
    Weston Nakamura 25 views 31 comments Most recent by b_v Real Vision
  • Ralph Humphrey
    The Case for Oil Equities in Brief
    The market hates not loves the U.S. oil industry.  Consider this – Tesla has a greater market capitalization than several large U.S. oil producers. The market is valuing Tesla more than perhaps the entire U.S. oil industry. Chevron’s Market Cap = $197.82 Billion Exxon Mobil’s Market Cap = $254.61 Billion ConocoPhillips’s Market Cap = $79.90 Billion EOG Resources’ Market Cap = $46.62 Billion Pioneer Natural Resources’ Market Cap = $38.36 Billion Total:                                      …
    Ralph Humphrey 74 views 3 comments Most recent by Ralph Humphrey Real Vision
  • Weston Nakamura
    Festival of Learning: Roger Hirst on Technical Analysis
    (Roger just wrote this out in slack, I’m guessing the question is from @Aaron Brill ? But wanted to share w/ exchange↓ )   Apologies to everyone for the long message, but this is an answer for Aaron who asked: “Knowing how, when, and the right types of trades to properly express the narrative being painted by my TA and general pattern recognition in the macro environment. What do you do?” My use of TA is to complement macro fundamentals (I’m not in front of a screen for enough of the day to …
    Weston Nakamura 49 views 4 comments Most recent by gary_g Real Vision
  • sam_c
    Adding Research on Copper & it's relationship with EV's and anything electrification.
    LlplHere is a report and some slides to add to the collaborative piece on copper posted by @Olivier Asset a couple of months back:  https://exchange.realvision.com/post/a-collaborative-piece-on-copper-5fe174622177ea4f6e2d0f18 Some interesting things from the attached report:      a lot more copper in an EV  and from RV guest Warren Pies     And some China Related Slides:    As noted here, Remember the political issues in Chile?    Supply / Demand:    From a report fro…
    sam_c 56 views 2 comments Most recent by Paul E Real Vision