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Charts & Reports
Charts & Reports

Weston NakamuraVisionary
Real Vision Exchange Manager, Programming and Community Engagement

Weekly Roundup + Global Markets Review: USD & FX, USTs, Equities, Options & Quarter Expiry, Gold & Metals, BTC & Crypto, Market Relevant Geopolitics, Global Central Banks

Not my typical weekly roundup at all ↑

Markets Reviewed / Examined & Explained

In this note- market related matters from the week:

•Global Central Banks

•Geopolitical Risk

•”The Dollar” / the yen, FX

•UST yields

•Gold & crypto

•June quarterly options expiry/meme calls


I was going to discuss markets on RVDB Thurs but didn’t make it on. Not every day is a markets discussion day- but day after FOMC certainly was. We saw some major moves that had left many puzzled. So here are some points below, covering cross asset market observations, explanations, and what to look for going forward.

I’m writing a separate post for this following up on Japan: The World’s Biggest COVID Failure but given the US COVID risk discussion, will quickly mention the FAR more pressing COVID catastrophe looming with an exact date slapped on it: Tokyo Summer Olympics. Japan currently 5% vaccinated - yes, FIVE PERCENT have at least ONE SHOT, lowest per capita among developed AND developing nations, trailing even Brazil & India), less than one month away from people from every single country coming into Tokyo for two weeks in the worlds largest and one of most densely populated metropolitan areas, and then returning back to their respective countries in every corner of the world. And as far as I can tell, NONE of this is on anyone’s radar, so if you want to talk COVID, this is prob the discussion that matters most right now. Just my view.

And as always,... (More)

Don't Miss Out: These Two Asset Classes Are About to Take Off!

https://youtu.be/cmJdYqEPEOs

Where we look at short- and intermediate- and long-term price and momentum indicators along with volume profile to determine if the charts are bullish or bearish across the board equity and bond market to help prepare you for the trading week ahead. S&P 500 (SPY) Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) Russell 2000 (IWM) Energy (XLE) Financials (XLF) Utilities (XLU) Industrials (XLI) Large Gold Miners (GDX) Emerging Markets (EEM) Long-Term Treasury Bonds (TLT) High-Yield Bonds (HYG) Gold Futures (/GC) Silver Futures (/SI) U.S. Dollar ($DXY) #StockChartAnalysis #StockChartsExplained #MomentumInvesting #VolumeProfile Have a question for the show? From time to time I answer your questions. E-mail Steve or, send him a message on Facebook, LinkedIn or Twitter. http://stevenvanmetre.com/about/contact/ https://www.facebook.com/svmfin/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/steven-van-metre-b4a08b182/ https://twitter.com/MetreSteven https://stevenvanmetre.com/portfolio-shield/ Watermark Artwork by Jasmine Miller Twitter: @jazcreative Portfolio Shield™, and The Macro Show™, and Momentum Timer Pro™ are unregistered trademarks of Steven Van Metre Financial. The content of this video is provided as educational information only and is not intended to provide investment or other advice. This material is not to be construed as a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any security, financial product, instrument, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. This video was prepared by Steven Van Metre in my own personal capacity. The opinions expressed in this video are my own and do not reflect the view of Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. or Steven Van Metre Financial.

Friday's Daily Briefing extendo-jam (please?)

I've watched Friday's DB twice now and speaking as a relative noob, it feels like so much of the conceptual knowledge I've taken in since joining RV is playing out in real time. (i mean, it's always playing out, but there's this convergence across major macro components--dollar, bonds&yields, inflation, commodities, knock-on effects, sector interplay--that feels a bit different in my experience). Any chance @Jack Farley @Nick Correa could do a quick follow-up explainer video and unpack some of this one?

Weston NakamuraVisionary
Real Vision Exchange Manager, Programming and Community Engagement

“By Jul ‘21, BTC’s higher low could be $8k! Bullish!!”

Another one from the Weston’s old chart archives (11k+ files). Though I’ve actively traded and separately held BTC since before the ‘17 boom bust, it wasn’t a serious enough sized position. This time last year is when I went responsibly long, cracked into double digit % of BTC allocation. After doing so, I was trying to help my friend “get off zero“ (how quaint) - and sent the following chart to explain:

“looking a year ahead from now, worst case scenario BTC finds support at $8k higher low- which is only -20% downside from here!” 

12 months ago, instead of saying the nonsense from above, if I had said “BTC will be >$30k, and such levels will be considered an absolute disaster…”   

Let’s just remember to remember and keep perspective