@Travis Kimmel & @Steven Van Metre trade idea
Holding Period - Two Part Sequence:
1, Long Risk-Free Duration via 30y UST (or TLT, ZROZ) Until market sentiment/positioning pivots to deflation & insolvency expectations ā long end yields drop/bond prices ā (convexity), SELL...
Ā
2. BUY Gold on dip w/ UST gains proceedsĀ
Ā


RV President @Travis Kimmel & @Steven Van Metre ās trade from interview on Travisā Ā deflationary macro outlook. Also discusses whatās next for former President Trump & possible market implicationsĀ
Link to video from Jan 26 here
For the sake of comments, letās not debate inflation vs deflation, or āall good šā vs āinsolvencyā Ā - rather, assume deflation + insolvency a given. Ā
Comment on the trade itself: Is this trade construction & strategy the best way to play deflationary shock? Anyone have a better risk adjusted return?