These are some of the few problems the calculations of which you may find pertinent.
Mean Length of Stay (LOS) for COVID-19 hospitalizations from published sources.
ICU mean LOS = 8 Days
Hospital mean LOS = 10 days
CDC cites it at 10-13 days.
I believe we have improved significantly and the newer numbers for median hospital LOS are around 7 days (my opinion). Back to the math:
We added a net 5K hospitalizations(admissions - discharges) since Nov 24th per national activity indicator data and as seen below 10/100k pop hospitalizations are being added weekly (overall unstratified)(it gets a lot uglier once stratified for race/age).
A better way to visualize this is below
So 25-30k new hospitalizations to be added next week, that means to keep the total hospitalizations less than 100 K, mean LOS needs to drop significantly. That anticipation is counterintuitive because increasing pressure on hospital systems means throughput congestion. With elective surgeries being canceled, covid-19 patients accounting for around 30% of total hospitalized patients, the above math has me wondering.