Skip to main content

Videos
Videos
46 followers
0 questions
129 posts

Do you have questions about Videos?

Log in to ask questions about Videos publicly or anonymously.

Tuesday 1/26/2021

  • Wild markets
  • Gamestop
  • Reinforcing good habits
  • Clear head
Weston NakamuraVisionary
Real Vision Exchange Manager, Programming and Community Engagement

Long 30y USTs (TLT) → Long Gold (GLD)

@Travis Kimmel & @Steven Van Metre trade idea
Holding Period - Two Part Sequence:

1, Long Risk-Free Duration via 30y UST (or TLT, ZROZ) Until market sentiment/positioning pivots to deflation & insolvency expectations → long end yields drop/bond prices ↑ (convexity), SELL...

 

2. BUY Gold on dip w/ UST gains proceeds 

 

 long term UST yields & gold move in tandem until March 2020 divergence - take profit on USTs & switch to gold 
 long term UST yields & gold move in tandem until March 2020 divergence - take profit on USTs & switch to gold 
2008 crisis: Long duration +40% in weeks, gold drops -30% & outperforms thereafter
2008 crisis: Long duration +40% in weeks, gold drops -30% & outperforms thereafter

RV President @Travis Kimmel & @Steven Van Metre ‘s trade from interview on Travis’  deflationary macro outlook. Also discusses what’s next for former President Trump & possible market implications 

Link to video from Jan 26 here

For the sake of comments, let’s not debate inflation vs deflation, or “all good 👍” vs ”insolvency”  - rather, assume deflation + insolvency a given.  

Comment on the trade itself: Is this trade construction & strategy the best way to play deflationary shock? Anyone have a better risk adjusted return?

Christopher Moir
Maker of random charts that seem important 2 years later

Gold update Tues 26th Jan 2021

TLDR:

  • Correlations always change.
  • Watch rates - EU has not followed US.
  • I need to make shorter videos.

https://exchange.realvision.com/post/gold-misnomers-5fcfc147ddd8803ec68044a8 <- real interest rates equation and description of Rate of Change impact on left and right side.

 

Monday 1/25/2021

  • No substance in this video lol
  • La Jolla Cove
  • Money chasing money
  • Short attn. spans remain in the forefront